The former Indian foreign secretary, Shyam Saran, gave a revealing speech on India’s nuclear deterrent on April 24th. The speech was titled, somewhat vaguely, “Is India’s Nuclear Deterrent Credible?” Read more

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There are many, especially in India, who see the Arab spring as a terrible thing. Saddam Hussein, Hosni Mubarak and the like may have been dictators, but they were secular and, at a stretch, represented the first wave of postwar Arab nationalism. Now they are gone, Islamicist groups are capturing power, and the threat to regional stability and the curdling of India’s Muslim ethos is rising. Read more

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The Indian National Security Advisor, Shiv Shankar Menon, made a few brief remarks about India’s nuclear weapons programme at the Indian Council for World Affairs on 21 August. Read more

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Afghanistan is going to make a comeback in the international political arena. It shouldn’t be, going by what everyone seems to believe. The United States is pulling out of Afghanistan. The Taliban and Hamid Karzai will duke it out, but ultimately the rest of the world will just yawn. Afghans killing Afghans. The oldest story in Southwest Asia. Read more

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The United States and Pakistan are in a death spiral of invective and abuse, a good thing for India one would presume. Largely yes but with a little smidgeon of no. Read more

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The Hindustan Times is about halfway through a series on India and its neighbours. The links for the first three articles are below. Two more are on the way. For various reasons, mostly illogical, the series eventually chose Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Nepal, Bangladesh and Myanmar. Bhutan, the Maldives and Afghanistan were given a miss. China is much bigger an issue than just a neighbour. Read more

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The Maldivian political crisis is a suitable reminder of how difficult it is to run a sphere of influence. This archipelago nation should be a snap for New Delhi. Read more

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What’s interesting about the present political problem in Pakistan is the role of the army. Old hat, you may say. The army trying to destabilize a civlian government is a hoary story in Pakistan. But what is different is the difficulty the miltary is having in getting their way. Read more

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Pakistan’s economic situation is deceptively sounder than it actually is. It’s public debt is about 50 per cent of GDP. Its external debt is about a quarter of GDP. And it basically told the IMF that it doesn’t need the last $ 3.7 billion tranche of an emergency loan that it had negotiated with the multilateral financial body. Read more

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On Indian independence day this year, the Times of India distributed a facscimile of its 15 August 1947 edition. On the newspaper’s second page was a short essay article predicting the future defence relationship between India and Pakistan. Read more

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